And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? LEANto theOVER 219.5 (-107) because Dallas has no answer for a Phoenix offense that is scoring 125.0 PPG in this series and because the Suns have 5 players who are shooting at least 40.0% from behind the arc. The line has moved away from Phoenix with the series now in Dallas, but it's unclear that it should have. A bet on Dallas here is one that hopes for a bit of luck. Forward Cameron Johnson is an athletic wing who has a long frame. Neither team was able to reach 30% shooting from behind the arc, and the Mavericks actually managed to win the battle on the glass, but in the fourth quarter it was the Suns who turned it on. Best Bets: Suns PICK (-110 at Caesars Sportsbook) and Over 219.5 (-110 at BetRivers). Predictions made on 5/5/2022 at 2:30 p.m. ET.Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis. The Mavs, however, haven't lost three straight since December and they should be plenty motivated to get back in the series on their home floor. Copy this into the source of your page where you want the article to appear: Gambling can be addictive, please play responsibly. Now, the model has set its sights on Suns vs. Mavs, and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. Anyone can say they belong in a certain class of competition, but results are what matter. KD can change a lot though. The site gives the Mavericks a 47% win probability in Game 3 of the NBA Playoffs series. This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks. The West is an ever changing battlefield, and Phoenix is walking on quick sand. NBA Playoffs second-round seriespicks, predictions, odds: Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. On the road this season they shot 35.4% from deep compared to 37.3% in Phoenix, and they knocked down just 26% in the three road games they played in the Pelicans series. The Mavericks are favored, by three points, in a matchup featuring two of the NBAs best defensive squads the Mavericks are fourth (108.3 points allowed per game), and the Suns are fifth (108.4). Heading into this matchup, the Phoenix Suns are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. Parlay Calculator, Copyright USA TODAY Sportsbook Wire 2023. One other scary thing for Dallas is that it is getting destroyed on the boards by a Suns team that really wasnt all that great at rebounding the ball this season. 67% are betting the Suns against the spread. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Mavs vs. Suns: Suns vs. Mavericks spread: Phoenix -2 Suns vs. Mavericks over-under: 212 points Suns vs. Sign up for the USA TODAY Sportsbook Wire newsletter to get our top stories in your inbox every morning. The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. WebLAST 10 GAMES: Mavericks: 5-5, averaging 118.8 points, 39.8 rebounds, 24.5 assists, 6.8 steals and 3.2 blocks per game while shooting 48.4% from the field. Theyve lost each of their last two games. The site predicts that the Suns will win, cover the spread and that the total in Friday's game will go under. On the season, the Suns have allowed their opponents top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.82% of their games, giving them a rank of 19th among NBA defenses. Taking a long look at the Suns second act of the season, Stephens Study: Suns show physicality in close loss to Bucks, Back-and-forth play sees the Suns fall short at Fiserv, Center of the Sun: Suns in purgatory, Bookers three-point shooting, and CP3 induced nightmares. If ever a No. With Golden State and Memphis poised for a lengthy second-round series, the Suns have a chance to earn an extended break. They are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games. Phoenix being able to exploit Luka puts Dallas in a tough spot because it needs Doncic on the floor for his offensive brilliance but has nowhere to hide him on defense. In their last meeting, Phoenix picked up a 129-109 win. Phoenix Suns (70-20 SU, 50-40-0 ATS) vs. Dallas Mavericks (56-34 SU, 52-36-2 ATS), Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas Texas, Point Spread: PHX +0.5/DAL -0.5 (Opened DAL +1 at MyBookie Use promo code PREDICT100 and theyll give you a 100% REAL CASH bonus up to $300! They are chasing you down in the standings, clawing on to the back of your police cruiser, and keeping you in a state of suspense. Phoenix knocked off the Oklahoma City Thunder 124-115 at home on Friday to push as 9-point favorites. I have classified teams into three different categories, and seeing as Ive been referencing movies and their structures to correlate the final 20 for Phoenix, lets use The Terminator trilogy as inspiration. Please enter a valid email and try again. The third act is on the horizon, where we will experience the final chapter of the 2022-23 season. 1 seed Phoenix Suns (2-0) head to the American Airlines Center for Game 3 of their If you're signing up for a new sportsbook for the NBA Playoffs, here are two of the best bonuses* available: A) Luka Doncic and Devin Booker each Over 2.5 made threes BOOSTED to +165 at Caesars! As usual, Doncic has been Dallas best player this series, averaging 40.0 points, 8.5 rebounds and 7.5 assists over the first two games of the series. Phoenix doesnt have anyone who can defend Doncic, so hes going to get as much as he wants and always has an answer for the Suns surges. However, the Suns have come out of the gates blazing hot from the field. Also, the Mavs role players should perform a little better now that the series is in Dallas and if the Mavs get down early in Game 3, they might speed up the pace in desperation mode. While the Mavericks focus was toughening up on defense in Game 2, that strategy (which included starting Powell at center) came at the cost of the offenses flow and spacing. Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Part of Phoenixs defensive success is their ability to match up well with Dallas. Odds are via our top reviewed and recommended sportsbooks. VOTE: What's your prediction for Game 3 of the #Suns vs. #Mavericks #NBAPlayoffs series on Friday? Phoenix weathered a more physical approach from the Mavs and got a big game from their little friend Chris Paul (28 points, eight assists) in the second game of the series, sending Dallas back home desperate for a win in Game 3 on Friday. This season, the Lakers are 34-26 against the first half spread, including 25-18 as dogs in the first half. The Suns have a variety of wings who can match up and switch those defensive matchups when necessary. That was the Phoenix Suns pulling a page from Scarface, en route to a 2-0 series lead over the Dallas Mavericks in their conference semifinal series. Bucks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions. Weve advertised them for over ten years with ZERO complaints! The Suns (32-9) had a better record on the road than the Mavericks (29-12) did at home this season. Feb 9. Now 31-17-2 with ALL plays the L13 days! Dinwiddie has struggled to start this series, shooting a collective 6-for-18 from the field in the first two games, but is still 4-for-9 from distance. Alas, we have entered the time of the season in which this matters. The Suns (32-9) had a better record on the road Doncic scored 35 points in Game 2 after scoring 45 in the series opener. But in act two? Final Suns-Mavericks Game 3 Prediction & Pick Its a huge shock to see the Suns enter this game as favorites of this size. If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so. He had a pair of steals and was a game-high plus-31 in Game 2, playing a crucial role in limiting the Mavericks scoring opportunities. While Antetokounmpo will be sidelined in this game, so will Durant, which will help the Bucks to come out with a sizeable victory. Hes been held to 13 and nine points in each of the first games this series, which is disappointing after he averaged 27.8 PPG in Round 1. Suns vs. Mavericks Game 3 Odds & Predictions by Joe Jensen | May 6, 2022 | nba Phoenix Suns (70-20 SU, 50-40-0 ATS) vs. Dallas Mavericks (56-34 SU, 52-36-2 ATS) Thegame is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. MSTandcan be seen on ESPN. Two 2021-22 NBA playoff games are scheduled for Friday, May 3, including a Game 3 matchup between the Phoenix Suns and Dallas Mavericks. But know that if a fellow Western Conference opponent goes 3-3 during that same time, youve only gained 1.5 games on them in the standings. Guard Luka Doncic knows how to dominate the game in a multitude of ways. section: | slug: suns-vs-mavericks-game-3-prediction-pick-tv-channel-nba-playoffs-live-stream-how-to-watch-online | sport: basketball | route: article_single.us | Dallas All-StarLuka Doncichas pulled his weight in this series, averaging 40.0 PPG on 66.3% true shooting (.538/.429/.789) with 8.5 rebounds and 7.5 assists. Dallas guard Spencer Dinwiddie has seen his minutes slimmed since Doncic returned to action midway through Round 1, but hes still an offensive threat to hit big shots beyond the arc. Join now! Were not sure, especially considering the recent LeBron news. The Mavericks are down 0-2 in this series ahead of Game 3 and one thing is for certain: their deficit certainly isnt Luka Doncics fault. The New York Knicks (36-27) will host the Brooklyn Nets (34-27) after winning five home games in a row. 52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 219.5. The New York Knicks (36-27) will host the Brooklyn Nets (34-27) after winning five home games in a row. SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 216 combined points. ET. If Doncic has help, the Mavericks will have a good chance. On top of maintaining their level on offense, the Mavericks will likely need to get a little lucky in Game 3 in order to have any sort of chance here. There really doesnt seem to be one thing the Mavericks can simply do better to win. After two valiant fights, is there hope for the Mavericks in Game 3? Even with a 20-point difference in the final score, Dallas was very much in this game for three frames despite a terrible team effort and a red-hot shooting night for the Suns. Deposit $200, Get $250. But right now, things look bleak. Paul is an elite playmaker who is extremely selfless on the floor. PASS because Phoenixs ML is only 13 cents on the dollar more expensive than the Suns -1.5 (-102) so theres no reason to sweat a Phoenix cover here. Like Sarah Connor, theyre always ready for a fight. Also see:Bet Slippin Podcast: NBA conference semifinals Game 3 betting previews. These games will have a major impact on the final standings. The Mavericks have been the beneficiaries of some positive variance, and they still lost both games. In the Phoenix Suns most recent game, Phoenix took down Dallas by a score of 129-109. Forward Dorian Finney-Smith has been on fire from 3P range, and was hitting at over a 50% rate from deep in the two home games. Suns vs Mavericks Game 3 Picks and Predictions: Dallas Covers Spread in Offensive Battle, Timberwolves vs Clippers Picks and Predictions: LA Contains One-Man Minnesota, Bucks vs Nets Picks and Predictions: Milwaukee Crushes Brooklyn at Barclays, DraftKings Promo Code: Bet $5 on Lakers vs Grizzlies or Timberwolves vs Clippers, Get $150, FanDuel Promo Code Gets You $1K No Sweat First Bet For NBA TNT Tuesday. In its last 10 games, Phoenix is 7-3 outright and 5-4-1 against the spread (ATS). Mavericks vs Suns Betting Trends - Dallas is 8-3 against the spread (ATS) in its last 11 games. Bet now! In this stretch, Phoenixs offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 116.0 points per game. The Dallas Mavericks had every reason to believe they could hang with the reigning Western Conference champions when this series began. The moneyline does not have as much value as a play on the spread in this matchup. Spencer Dinwiddie was efficient once again, going 3/10 for 11 points off the bench. The model enters the third full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 86-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. OK, say hello to my little friend!. Phoenix has looked unstoppable so far this series and I expect them to keep the ball rolling as the series shifts to Dallas. A daily roundup of Phoenix Suns news from Bright Side of the Sun, By submitting your email, you agree to our, 20 games left! Outside of sports, he enjoys the finer things in life like pasta, live music and getting even more tattoos. The Suns, who are incorporating Kevin Durant into the lineup, may benefit from this. Jan 12, 2023 - Dallas 119 vs. Los Angeles 115; Dec 25, 2022 - Dallas 124 vs. Los We saw the New Orleans Pelicans make up for an outmatched offense vs. Phoenix in the first round by crashing the offensive glass. 1 seed Phoenix Suns and No. This season, the Lakers are 34-26 against the first half spread, including 25-18 as dogs in the first half. Paul can pile up steals and is a problem in transition. Suns vs. Mavericks Same Game Parlay Reggie Bullock Under 9.5 Points (-114) Mikal Bridges Under 13.5 Points (-116) Phoenix posted an Offensive Rating of 130.1 in Game 1 and 134.4 in Game 2, scoring at will in the fourth quarter of both games. For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report. Try selecting a different location. Against the Mavericks, Booker will need to be on top of his game as Dallas is allowing their opponents top scorer to surpass their average in 45.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. They beat the Suns on Christmas Day in OT as well, the game in which Devin Booker left with a groin injury in the first five minutes. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. May 6, 2022 at 7:19 pm ET 3 min read USATSI The Dallas Mavericks host the Phoenix Suns in a crucial Game 3 battle in the Western Conference semifinals on Friday The over/under for the matchup is 223.5 points. Who will win the game? - The total has hit the over in six of Phoenix's last seven games. Some are the John Connor teams of the bunch. On top of that, the Suns frontcourt is far superior to the Mavs, which is the main reason Phoenix has nearly a 10% higher rebounding rate than Dallas in this series. Of the next 10 games, the Suns play 4 of these teams. Chris Paul had 14 in the fourth and Devin Booker nine points, besting Luka Doncics nine on the other side of things. I recommend grabbing Phoenix once again, as they put themselves in position to come away with the sweep. The Suns will have a quality barometer test against the Nuggets as they play each other twice in the last six games of the season. If not, Phoenix will take a commanding 3-0 series lead. He can pull Ayton and the Suns' interior defenders away from the paint, which opens a lane for Brunson and Doncic to slice to the rim. It plays in the Suns favor that they play these teams 6 times, but we all know how feisty they can be. In those nine games, he hasnt made 2+ threes once. Terms at draftkings.com/sportsbook. Take the Suns. The Mavericks are nine-point favorites for this contest featuring a pair of the best shooting teams in the NBA, as the Mavericks make 15 3-pointers per game (third in Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. One false step, one brief losing streak, and you will sink quicker than Artax into the Swamps of Sadness. Phoenix is -115on the money line and Dallas is -105. The teams in this category are just that. 4 seed Dallas Mavericks (0-2). The over-under for total points is 218, down 1.5 points from the opening line. Given that they are now on the road, the spread has dropped down to just -1 in favor of the Suns. Most recently, the Suns crushed Charlotte by 31 points. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The first two games of this series have blown the totals out of the water, with Game 1 and Game 2 each going Over by 20.5 points. But the Suns (-115) have an implied win probability of 53.5% and Phoenix has beaten Dallas in 100% of their meetings since the Suns picked up CP3. The Dallas offense actually performed incredibly well in both contests so far, but the Suns still came out with wins. Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Suns: No injuries to report.Mavericks: Tim Hardaway Jr. G (Out)Find our latest NBA injury reports. Thats question number one for Monty Williams: where do you want to be? I'm off another fine day "in the neighborhood" as it was a 3-1 Thursday, including a HUGE Game of the YEAR winner on the 49ers! For the Suns, the confrontation is the last 20 games of the season, as Monty Williams staff and players learn to integrate future Hall of Famer Kevin Durant into the fold. Through 79 games, Booker is averaging 26 points. The Phoenix Suns(33-28) visit theMilwaukee Bucks(42-17) on Sunday with tip from Fiserv Forum scheduled for 1 p.m. Those shooting numbers, especially the three-point numbers, have to go down at some point. They must do so while simultaneously holding tight to their place in the standings. BetSync with BetMGM for easy bet tracking. All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook. The Mavericks recent results have been a bit of a mirror image from the Suns. One thing the Suns have in their corner? In its last 10 games, Phoenix is 7-3 outright and 5-4-1 against the spread (ATS). NBA 2/23 Preview: Spurs Vs. Mavericks. The Suns have outrebounded the Mavericks 85-61 over the first two games. Sure, their GM wished theyd lose, but dont ask that of a competitor. Follow @seth_orlemann on Twitter. Free to play; terms and conditions apply. The main issue is that the rest of the Mavericks players havent shown up to help the Slovenian superstar. The second act of a screenplay or novel is typically when the confrontation occurs. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbooks lines around the Suns vs. WebVisit ESPN for the game preview of the Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns NBA basketball game on January 26, 2023 This season, the Lakers are 34-26 against the first half spread, including 25-18 as dogs in the first half. TheNo. That act is the postseason, where we finally learn the fate for the Suns this season. pic.twitter.com/3YSeMr5O4e. His favorite leagues to cover are the NHL, NBA and NFL, and has a soft spot for fantasy football specifically. It is the two games against the Nuggets that will be the most important. He just needs to focus and pick up his game if the Mavericks want to stand a chance. The Mavericks have covered the spread just once in their last 6 games and are a league-worst 16-31-2 ATS on the season. - Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games. More: Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns picks, predictions, odds: Who wins NBA Playoffs series? Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets. WebLAST 10 GAMES: Mavericks: 5-5, averaging 118.8 points, 39.8 rebounds, 24.5 assists, 6.8 steals and 3.2 blocks per game while shooting 48.4% from the field. Click here to register on FanDuel SB and bet on the Suns taking a 3-0 series lead. Additional NBA sports coverage: Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Mavs vs. Suns: Guard Chris Paul continues to show his veteran presence in this series. The Dallas Mavericks and Phoenix Suns meet Thursday in NBA action at the Footprint Center. The Mavericks wanted to set a physical tone from the tip on Wednesday, but that approach backfired. NO Salesman. Milwaukee Bucks, Philadelphia 76ers, Denver Nuggets (x2). Desperation is dangerous. With the Mavericks supporting cast showing no signs of helping their top player out, look for Doncic to take matters into his own hands tonight while hitting the over in the process. The fewer games Paul has to play, the easier it is to limit his injury risk as well. Even with the Suns doing everything they can to slow him down, hes figured out a way to get things done. There are 20 regular season games left to determine how the second act of the season will ultimately play out. 1; Lakers climbing, Lillard becoming one of best scorers ever, 5 players that could swing the title picture, LeBron (foot) to miss at least two weeks, per report, Hornets' Ball (ankle) out for season, per report, Lillard has career-high 71 points in Blazers win, Report: NBA, NBPA close to agreement on new CBA, Suns vs. Mavericks over-under: 218 points, Suns vs. Mavericks money line: Phoenix +100, Dallas -120, PHO: Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall, DAL: Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Phoenix Suns are looking to take a commanding 3-0 lead in this Western Conference semi-final series. Gannett may earn revenue from sports betting operators for audience referrals to betting services. 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